A note from Daniel

Luck makes it difficult to predict how things will turn out. Dealing with probabilities means we can’t tell when the 20% is going to happen. Also we normally don’t have all the facts when making a decision that will prevent us from making a perfect decision. But after you've set out on a particular course of action, new information will reveal itself to you. And that information is critical feedback. Sometimes, that new information will be new facts. Sometimes, it might be different ways to think about or model a problem or a set of data or the facts you already have. Sometimes, it will be a discovery about your own preferences. And, of course, some of that new information will be about which future you happen to observe, a good one or a bad one.

Daniel Quit, page 11 · August 16, 2024 Save to shelf
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