A note from Daniel

Any decision is made under some degree of uncertainty, stemming from two different sources, most of our decisions being subject to both. First, the world is stochastic. Luck makes it difficult to predict exactly how things will turn out, at least not in the short run. We operate not with certainties but with probabilities, and we don't have a crystal ball that tells us which among all the possible futures will be the one that actually occurs. Second, when we make most decisions, we don't have all the facts. We have to make decisions with only partial information, certainly far less than we'd need to have to make a perfect choice.

Daniel Quit, page 11 · August 16, 2024 Save to shelf
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