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Straightforward face-to-face communication is usually done to overcome some sort of obstacle - a fear or a lack of confidence, for example. A leader does not beat those things by just hugging them or letting them go.
Making a forecast changes the course of occurrences and might contribute to the forecast becoming valid or the opposite ?!
Grit is an ability to stick to one’s goal when facing backlashes
SuperForecasters are „perpetual betas“ - committed to belief updating and self-improvement
Foxes with dragonfly eyes forecast best - they integrate different perspectives
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Dennis on Booksense 6 notes 20 hours of reading