A note from Daniel

During the early stages of a bubble, many fortunes are made. But as knowledge about sharply rising prices spreads, more people enter the bubble on less favorable terms. Often, bubbles become truly divorced from reality once growing numbers of people who are far outside their circle of competence start buying. People end up buying on the mistaken assumption that the immediate past is an accurate picture of the immediate future; there is a "contagious optimism, seemingly impervious to facts, that often takes hold when prices are rising." People don't understand the economics of what they are buying; they just don't want to miss out on the gold rush.

Daniel The Great Mental Models, Volume 4, page 190 · December 31, 2024 Save to shelf
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